Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Sill 45.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 54.5%
Defensive zone
Sill 50.5%
Neutral zone
Ellis 58.6%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Ellis
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ellis
Sill
Last 5: Ellis 3-2 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sill
0
2
Ellis
Sill
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Sill
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
2
0
Ellis
Sill
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
44.5% (220)
+2.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
36.1% (36)
+6.0%
On power play, Sill has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Sill is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Ellis
Sill
Home
48.5% (303)
45.4% (141)
Away
44.8% (406)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Ellis
Sill
P1
50.0%
48.9%
P2
46.2%
41.7%
P3
41.3%
39.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Zach Sill |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Zach Sill |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |