Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.5%). Ellis wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sill shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 49.2% vs Sill 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sill 65.3%
Defensive zone
Ellis 54.0%
Neutral zone
Ellis 67.4%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Ellis
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ellis
Sill
Last 5: Ellis 3-2 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sill
0
2
Ellis
Sill
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Sill
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
2
0
Ellis
Sill
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (170)
51.9% (77)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (35)
35.7% (14)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Ellis has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. Ellis is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Ellis shoots left. Sill is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Ellis
Sill
Home
47.8% (113)
56.8% (37)
Away
50.0% (92)
44.6% (56)
By Period
Ellis
Sill
P1
61.3%
56.7%
P2
45.9%
52.5%
P3
35.9%
34.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Zach Sill |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Zach Sill |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |