Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Hendricks 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 52.7%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Coyle
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Coyle
Hendricks
Last 7: Coyle 3-4 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Hendricks
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Coyle
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
50.3% (326)
+3.0%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
60.0% (5)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
46.5% (127)
-3.3%
On power play, Hendricks has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Coyle is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Coyle shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hendricks
Home
49.5% (210)
47.1% (210)
Away
54.4% (250)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Coyle
Hendricks
P1
53.3%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
49.4%
P3
55.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |