Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Hendricks 49.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 91.1%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 58.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 68.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Spezza
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Spezza
Hendricks
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Hendricks
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
50.3% (326)
+6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
60.0% (5)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
46.5% (127)
+3.5%
On power play, Hendricks has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hendricks
Home
61.4% (352)
47.1% (210)
Away
50.9% (395)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Spezza
Hendricks
P1
60.6%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
49.4%
P3
52.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |