Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hendricks wins 62.2% vs left-shot opponents — McCormick shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.4% vs McCormick 50.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 55.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 71.7%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Hendricks
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hendricks
McCormick
Last 5: Hendricks 3-2 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
0
1
Hendricks
McCormick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
1
Hendricks
McCormick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (329)
52.0% (75)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
0.0% (1)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Hendricks is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Hendricks shoots left. McCormick is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Hendricks
McCormick
Home
52.4% (233)
40.5% (42)
Away
58.6% (220)
64.7% (34)
By Period
Hendricks
McCormick
P1
55.1%
58.1%
P2
55.2%
36.0%
P3
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Max McCormick |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |