Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hendricks wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.9% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 89.4%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 77.4%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Hendricks
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hendricks
Zibanejad
Last 6: Hendricks 4-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Hendricks
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
1
Hendricks
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (197)
46.7% (285)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
45.6% (57)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
61.7% (60)
0.0% (1)
+61.7%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +61.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hendricks is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Hendricks shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Zibanejad
Home
55.3% (123)
45.4% (163)
Away
58.1% (136)
47.2% (180)
By Period
Hendricks
Zibanejad
P1
58.7%
43.7%
P2
49.5%
48.6%
P3
63.2%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |