Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.7% vs Thompson 52.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Hendricks
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hendricks
Thompson
Last 7: Hendricks 6-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
0
Hendricks
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
1
Hendricks
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (159)
54.4% (870)
-6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
45.8% (24)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
45.1% (162)
+10.2%
On power play, Hendricks has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hendricks is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Hendricks shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Thompson
Home
51.1% (88)
55.3% (510)
Away
48.2% (110)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Hendricks
Thompson
P1
43.3%
53.5%
P2
53.8%
52.2%
P3
51.0%
52.7%
Final 5 min
63.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |