Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.5% vs Thompson 55.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 80.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 72.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Hendricks
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hendricks
Thompson
Last 7: Hendricks 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
2
Hendricks
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (326)
57.7% (482)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
100.0% (2)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (127)
51.9% (154)
-5.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hendricks is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Hendricks shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Thompson
Home
47.1% (210)
59.0% (327)
Away
51.2% (248)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Hendricks
Thompson
P1
50.0%
54.2%
P2
49.4%
61.3%
P3
48.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |