Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hendricks wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 66.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 56.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Hendricks
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Hendricks
Stastny
Last 10: Hendricks 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Hendricks
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
5
4
Hendricks
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
0
Hendricks
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Hendricks shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Stastny
Home
52.6% (1,023)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Hendricks
Stastny
P1
53.2%
56.3%
P2
53.3%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |