Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hendricks wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.1%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Hendricks
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hendricks
Stastny
Last 8: Hendricks 4-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Hendricks
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
2
Hendricks
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (184)
55.4% (1,004)
+5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.0% (210)
+41.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (47)
54.1% (196)
-13.7%
On power play, Hendricks has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hendricks is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Hendricks shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Stastny
Home
62.3% (114)
56.5% (717)
Away
51.7% (118)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Hendricks
Stastny
P1
51.3%
56.7%
P2
63.0%
57.7%
P3
56.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |