Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hendricks wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.7% vs Rakell 47.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 63.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 84.9%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 74.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Hendricks
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hendricks
Rakell
Last 5: Hendricks 4-1 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
1
Hendricks
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (159)
46.2% (608)
+1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.9% (54)
+48.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
33.3% (3)
+22.0%
On power play, Hendricks has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hendricks is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Hendricks shoots left. Rakell is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Rakell
Home
51.1% (88)
49.3% (335)
Away
48.2% (110)
43.9% (330)
By Period
Hendricks
Rakell
P1
43.3%
46.8%
P2
53.8%
45.0%
P3
51.0%
48.2%
Final 5 min
63.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 10, 2014 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |