Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hendricks wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.9% vs Nash 45.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 54.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 86.8%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 85.5%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Hendricks
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hendricks
Nash
Last 8: Hendricks 5-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Hendricks
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (197)
44.8% (270)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
61.7% (60)
22.2% (9)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hendricks is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Hendricks shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Nash
Home
55.3% (123)
44.2% (147)
Away
58.1% (136)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Hendricks
Nash
P1
58.7%
39.1%
P2
49.5%
47.8%
P3
63.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |