Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.5% vs Johansen 55.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 83.9%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 62.0%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Hendricks
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hendricks
Johansen
Last 6: Hendricks 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Hendricks
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
0
Hendricks
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Hendricks
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (326)
55.9% (1,157)
-5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.5% (237)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (127)
43.3% (67)
+3.2%
On even strength, Johansen has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Hendricks shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Johansen
Home
47.1% (210)
55.8% (733)
Away
51.2% (248)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Hendricks
Johansen
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
49.4%
55.9%
P3
48.6%
57.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |