Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 52.6% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 73.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Hendricks
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hendricks
Plekanec
Last 5: Hendricks 4-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
1
Hendricks
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (233)
49.8% (1,095)
+5.1%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
49.4% (174)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
47.3% (364)
-8.8%
On power play, Hendricks has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Hendricks is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Hendricks shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Plekanec
Home
52.8% (142)
49.4% (789)
Away
54.5% (123)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Hendricks
Plekanec
P1
64.9%
51.9%
P2
48.6%
48.8%
P3
49.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |