Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 65.6%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 54.2%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Hendricks
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Hendricks
Bozak
Last 10: Hendricks 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Hendricks
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
5
4
Hendricks
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Hendricks
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
53.7% (9,596)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
55.2% (1,990)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Hendricks shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Bozak
Home
52.6% (1,023)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Hendricks
Bozak
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
53.3%
52.8%
P3
53.6%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |