Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.7%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hendricks wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 52.6% vs Bozak 52.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Hendricks
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hendricks
Bozak
Last 9: Hendricks 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Hendricks
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Hendricks
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Hendricks
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (233)
51.7% (913)
+3.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.9% (211)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
54.9% (51)
-16.4%
On power play, Hendricks has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hendricks is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Hendricks shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Bozak
Home
52.8% (142)
52.8% (615)
Away
54.5% (123)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Hendricks
Bozak
P1
64.9%
52.5%
P2
48.6%
51.1%
P3
49.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |