Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hendricks wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.9% vs Bozak 52.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 62.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 59.4%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Hendricks
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hendricks
Bozak
Last 6: Hendricks 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Hendricks
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
1
Hendricks
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (197)
52.8% (697)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.9% (171)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
61.7% (60)
53.3% (195)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hendricks is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Hendricks shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Bozak
Home
55.3% (123)
52.1% (530)
Away
58.1% (136)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Hendricks
Bozak
P1
58.7%
54.1%
P2
49.5%
50.6%
P3
63.2%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |