Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hendricks wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.8% vs Graovac 48.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 92.0%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 63.4%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Hendricks
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hendricks
Graovac
Last 8: Hendricks 5-3 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
1
Hendricks
Graovac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Hendricks
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (184)
47.5% (341)
+13.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Hendricks has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Hendricks is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Hendricks shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Graovac
Home
62.3% (114)
48.6% (181)
Away
51.7% (118)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Hendricks
Graovac
P1
51.3%
42.4%
P2
63.0%
46.8%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |