Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 55.6%). Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hendricks wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.4% vs Seguin 55.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.1%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 59.7%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hendricks
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hendricks
Seguin
Last 9: Hendricks 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Hendricks
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
1
Hendricks
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (329)
55.9% (789)
+3.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
52.1% (48)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
44.4% (9)
-0.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Hendricks shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Seguin
Home
52.4% (233)
57.3% (382)
Away
58.6% (220)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Hendricks
Seguin
P1
55.1%
55.1%
P2
55.2%
57.5%
P3
55.6%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |