Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.5% vs Seguin 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 64.3%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 54.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hendricks
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hendricks
Seguin
Last 5: Hendricks 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Hendricks
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (326)
55.1% (1,036)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.9% (174)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (127)
52.2% (230)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Hendricks shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Seguin
Home
47.1% (210)
58.9% (703)
Away
51.2% (248)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Hendricks
Seguin
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
49.4%
53.7%
P3
48.6%
57.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |