Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sutter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Stajan 47.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 60.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Sutter
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Sutter
Stajan
Last 10: Sutter 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
4
Sutter
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
47.8% (678)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
45.5% (101)
+3.5%
On power play, Sutter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Sutter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Sutter shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stajan
Home
57.3% (164)
49.0% (392)
Away
45.6% (114)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Sutter
Stajan
P1
49.4%
47.9%
P2
52.3%
49.8%
P3
54.3%
43.4%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |