Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs Stajan 50.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 75.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 63.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Point
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Stajan
Last 5: Point 3-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Point
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
50.9% (627)
-6.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
40.0% (15)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
47.6% (126)
+2.4%
On even strength, Stajan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Point is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Point shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Point
Stajan
Home
46.3% (315)
52.4% (401)
Away
42.4% (217)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Point
Stajan
P1
36.9%
56.3%
P2
48.7%
45.5%
P3
47.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |