Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Stajan 50.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 59.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 83.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Little
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Little
Stajan
Last 9: Little 3-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
5
Little
Stajan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Little
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
50.9% (627)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
40.0% (15)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
47.6% (126)
-10.9%
On power play, Little has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Little
Stajan
Home
56.7% (575)
52.4% (401)
Away
54.4% (522)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Little
Stajan
P1
55.4%
56.3%
P2
53.9%
45.5%
P3
57.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |