Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Stajan 47.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 50.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Tierney
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Tierney
Stajan
Last 8: Tierney 1-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
7
Tierney
Stajan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
47.8% (678)
-2.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
33.3% (9)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
45.5% (101)
-1.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stajan
Home
48.5% (394)
49.0% (392)
Away
43.1% (411)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Tierney
Stajan
P1
48.7%
47.9%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
40.6%
43.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |