Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Stajan 47.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 86.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 54.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 66.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Backes
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Backes
Stajan
Last 7: Backes 5-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Backes
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
47.8% (678)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
33.3% (9)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
45.5% (101)
+3.8%
On power play, Backes has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Backes
Stajan
Home
53.1% (573)
49.0% (392)
Away
51.1% (619)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Backes
Stajan
P1
51.8%
47.9%
P2
52.3%
49.8%
P3
52.6%
43.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | David Backes |