Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.7% vs Stajan 47.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 69.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.7%
Neutral zone
Legwand 51.3%
Result
David Legwand favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Legwand
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Legwand
Stajan
Last 5: Legwand 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Legwand
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
1
Legwand
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (357)
47.8% (678)
-1.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
33.3% (9)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
45.5% (101)
-5.2%
On power play, Legwand has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Legwand is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Legwand shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Legwand
Stajan
Home
46.2% (236)
49.0% (392)
Away
45.5% (191)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Legwand
Stajan
P1
42.3%
47.9%
P2
46.0%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
45.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | David Legwand |