Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Stajan 46.7% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 86.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 79.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 86.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
MacKenzie
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Stajan
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
MacKenzie
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
46.7% (615)
+14.3%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
52.9% (17)
+47.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
43.5% (138)
+5.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Stajan
Home
62.1% (145)
45.6% (379)
Away
57.3% (178)
46.8% (391)
By Period
MacKenzie
Stajan
P1
51.6%
44.2%
P2
59.8%
46.9%
P3
65.8%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |