Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Stajan 49.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 80.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 58.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Roy
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Roy
Stajan
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Stajan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
10
Roy
Stajan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
7
Roy
Stajan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.2% (4,944)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
43.2% (176)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
46.1% (864)
+0.7%
On power play, Roy has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Roy
Stajan
Home
49.5% (1,982)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Roy
Stajan
P1
47.6%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
48.5%
49.4%
OT
43.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |