Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs Stajan 51.2% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 53.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 83.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 65.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Toninato
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toninato
Stajan
Last 5: Toninato 3-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
0
Toninato
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Toninato
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
52.2% (395)
-8.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
47.6% (82)
-32.2%
On power play, Stajan has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Toninato is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Toninato shoots left. Stajan is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Toninato
Stajan
Home
47.3% (91)
50.8% (238)
Away
37.0% (108)
52.0% (244)
By Period
Toninato
Stajan
P1
38.0%
56.3%
P2
37.3%
48.8%
P3
49.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
41.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |