Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Stajan 51.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 64.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Belanger
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Belanger
Stajan
Last 7: Belanger 2-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Belanger
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Belanger
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
53.0% (509)
+4.4%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
41.4% (29)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
48.0% (98)
+1.5%
On power play, Belanger has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Belanger
Stajan
Home
55.5% (519)
53.8% (353)
Away
55.1% (488)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Belanger
Stajan
P1
53.1%
52.0%
P2
58.0%
52.0%
P3
54.5%
51.0%
OT
63.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |