Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Stajan 49.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 73.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 61.2%
Neutral zone
Dowell 54.0%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Dowell
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowell
Stajan
Last 6: Dowell 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Dowell
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowell
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
50.2% (4,944)
-1.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
43.2% (176)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
46.1% (864)
+0.8%
On power play, Stajan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Dowell
Stajan
Home
51.8% (413)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
45.8% (443)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Dowell
Stajan
P1
50.4%
50.3%
P2
46.6%
48.5%
P3
49.7%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |