Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Stajan 50.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 61.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 54.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Vitale
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vitale
Stajan
Last 6: Vitale 4-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
2
Vitale
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
51.1% (503)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
42.9% (7)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
46.7% (92)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Stajan is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Vitale
Stajan
Home
46.9% (371)
55.1% (336)
Away
49.7% (362)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Vitale
Stajan
P1
52.9%
51.3%
P2
44.2%
47.7%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |