Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.8% vs Stajan 46.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 61.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 72.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Mitchell
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Mitchell
Stajan
Last 8: Mitchell 1-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
4
Mitchell
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Mitchell
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Mitchell
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (231)
46.7% (615)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
52.9% (17)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
65.2% (46)
43.5% (138)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Mitchell is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Mitchell shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Stajan
Home
59.0% (134)
45.6% (379)
Away
43.8% (210)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Mitchell
Stajan
P1
48.0%
44.2%
P2
49.2%
46.9%
P3
50.9%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |