Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Stajan 50.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Toews
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Toews
Stajan
Last 7: Toews 6-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
50.9% (627)
+3.9%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
40.0% (15)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
47.6% (126)
+2.4%
On power play, Toews has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Toews
Stajan
Home
58.7% (784)
52.4% (401)
Away
51.0% (768)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Toews
Stajan
P1
54.0%
56.3%
P2
57.4%
45.5%
P3
52.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2016 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 24, 2016 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |