Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Adam wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Stajan 51.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 68.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 59.2%
Neutral zone
Adam 52.1%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Adam
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Adam
Stajan
Last 5: Adam 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Adam
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
1
0
Adam
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
53.0% (509)
-9.7%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
41.4% (29)
+6.6%
On even strength, Stajan has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Adam shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Adam
Stajan
Home
47.6% (126)
53.8% (353)
Away
40.6% (133)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Adam
Stajan
P1
47.8%
52.0%
P2
35.8%
52.0%
P3
47.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |