Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Stajan 48.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 86.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 66.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Scheifele
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Scheifele
Stajan
Last 5: Scheifele 1-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Scheifele
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
49.2% (886)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
37.1% (35)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.6% (175)
+5.4%
On power play, Scheifele has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stajan
Home
45.9% (394)
51.2% (572)
Away
38.4% (391)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Scheifele
Stajan
P1
44.7%
48.4%
P2
42.2%
45.2%
P3
39.7%
50.8%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |