Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Stajan 50.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 56.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 90.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 77.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Scheifele
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Scheifele
Stajan
Last 6: Scheifele 5-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Scheifele
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
51.1% (503)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
46.7% (92)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Scheifele is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Scheifele shoots right. Stajan is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stajan
Home
43.1% (569)
55.1% (336)
Away
42.7% (579)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Scheifele
Stajan
P1
45.3%
51.3%
P2
38.6%
47.7%
P3
44.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |