Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Lombardi 49.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 62.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.4%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Stajan
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stajan
Lombardi
Last 8: Stajan 4-4 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Lombardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Lombardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
2
3
Stajan
Lombardi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
50.8% (260)
+2.2%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
47.4% (19)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
38.5% (26)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Lombardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Stajan
Lombardi
Home
53.8% (353)
49.2% (177)
Away
49.3% (286)
49.6% (129)
By Period
Stajan
Lombardi
P1
52.0%
49.5%
P2
52.0%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
45.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |