Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stajan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lombardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 46.7% vs Lombardi 46.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Lombardi leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lombardi 80.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 50.9%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Stajan
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Stajan
Lombardi
Last 10: Stajan 4-6 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
0
3
Stajan
Lombardi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Lombardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stajan
Lombardi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (615)
46.8% (203)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
33.3% (27)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (138)
16.7% (6)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Stajan shoots left. Lombardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Stajan
Lombardi
Home
45.6% (379)
44.0% (109)
Away
46.8% (391)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Stajan
Lombardi
P1
44.2%
47.0%
P2
46.9%
42.2%
P3
47.7%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |