Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.1%). Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Lapierre 51.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 68.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 50.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Stajan
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stajan
Lapierre
Last 8: Stajan 5-3 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Lapierre
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
51.2% (422)
+1.8%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
66.7% (6)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
57.4% (54)
-9.4%
On power play, Lapierre has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Stajan is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Stajan shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Stajan
Lapierre
Home
53.8% (353)
54.4% (239)
Away
49.3% (286)
49.8% (243)
By Period
Stajan
Lapierre
P1
52.0%
49.4%
P2
52.0%
52.8%
P3
51.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |