Matt Stajan vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs McCarron 52.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 50.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Stajan
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stajan
McCarron
Last 5: Stajan 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
53.4% (2,901)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
45.3% (86)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
50.5% (463)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Stajan
McCarron
Home
51.3% (3,098)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Stajan
McCarron
P1
50.3%
53.9%
P2
48.5%
52.5%
P3
49.4%
52.0%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |