Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 47.6% vs McCarron 50.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 76.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 58.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 53.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Stajan
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stajan
McCarron
Last 5: Stajan 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (678)
50.0% (144)
-2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
52.0% (25)
-18.7%
On power play, McCarron has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Stajan shoots left. McCarron is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Stajan
McCarron
Home
49.0% (392)
46.3% (82)
Away
45.7% (396)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Stajan
McCarron
P1
47.9%
45.5%
P2
49.8%
53.6%
P3
43.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |