Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Modano 48.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 53.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 58.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Stajan
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stajan
Modano
Last 6: Stajan 3-3 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
2
Stajan
Modano
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Modano
0
1
Stajan
Modano
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
47.7% (266)
+4.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
100.0% (5)
-54.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
0.0% (2)
+48.1%
On power play, Modano has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Stajan shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Stajan
Modano
Home
52.9% (427)
51.1% (139)
Away
50.2% (418)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Stajan
Modano
P1
49.6%
52.6%
P2
53.2%
42.3%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |