Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Richards 50.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 72.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 62.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.3%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Stajan
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
19
(40 meetings)
21
19
Stajan
Richards
Last 10: Stajan 8-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
6
Stajan
Richards
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
10
3
Stajan
Richards
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
6
10
Stajan
Richards
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
50.0% (3,722)
+0.2%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
54.6% (445)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
51.4% (502)
-5.3%
On power play, Richards has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Stajan
Richards
Home
51.3% (3,098)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Stajan
Richards
P1
50.3%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
52.3%
P3
49.4%
49.3%
OT
53.3%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |