Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 46.7% vs Richards 49.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 63.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Stajan
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stajan
Richards
Last 9: Stajan 3-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Stajan
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Stajan
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (615)
50.0% (370)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (30)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (138)
39.0% (41)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Stajan shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Stajan
Richards
Home
45.6% (379)
52.3% (214)
Away
46.8% (391)
45.8% (227)
By Period
Stajan
Richards
P1
44.2%
47.3%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
47.7%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mike Richards |