Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Richards 48.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 72.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 77.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stajan
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stajan
Richards
Last 10: Stajan 8-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
0
Stajan
Richards
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Stajan
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
49.5% (529)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
44.4% (36)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
39.3% (28)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Stajan
Richards
Home
55.1% (336)
47.9% (292)
Away
44.4% (266)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Stajan
Richards
P1
51.3%
46.0%
P2
47.7%
52.0%
P3
52.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |