Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.4%). Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 73.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 74.2%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 51.5%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Stajan
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Stajan
Santorelli
Last 10: Stajan 4-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
5
Stajan
Santorelli
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
48.4% (1,835)
+1.8%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
56.0% (298)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
48.5% (132)
-2.4%
On power play, Santorelli has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Stajan
Santorelli
Home
51.3% (3,098)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Stajan
Santorelli
P1
50.3%
51.0%
P2
48.5%
49.7%
P3
49.4%
47.6%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |