Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 57.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 73.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Stajan
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stajan
Santorelli
Last 6: Stajan 4-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Santorelli
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
45.1% (348)
+7.9%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
42.4% (33)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
0.0% (3)
+48.0%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Stajan is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Stajan shoots left. Santorelli is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Stajan
Santorelli
Home
53.8% (353)
49.5% (188)
Away
49.3% (286)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Stajan
Santorelli
P1
52.0%
48.8%
P2
52.0%
40.7%
P3
51.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |