Matt Stajan vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 47.6% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 62.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 62.7%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Stajan
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stajan
Grigorenko
Last 5: Stajan 3-2 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Stajan
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (678)
43.4% (311)
+4.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.0% (8)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (101)
40.0% (30)
+5.5%
On power play, Grigorenko has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Stajan shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Stajan
Grigorenko
Home
49.0% (392)
44.8% (172)
Away
45.7% (396)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Stajan
Grigorenko
P1
47.9%
36.6%
P2
49.8%
51.8%
P3
43.4%
42.6%
Final 5 min
46.6%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |