Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.3%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Koivu 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 66.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 50.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Stajan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stajan
Koivu
Last 6: Stajan 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Stajan
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Stajan
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
52.5% (802)
+0.5%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
52.0% (198)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
49.5% (105)
-1.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Stajan
Koivu
Home
53.8% (353)
54.6% (584)
Away
49.3% (286)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Stajan
Koivu
P1
52.0%
50.7%
P2
52.0%
51.1%
P3
51.0%
54.4%
OT
75.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |